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Five of the hottest counties in the areas reported higher than expected sales in October 2020, showing how the area is continuing to thrive and attract investors from across the country. It’s great when cross paths at a customer site. I worked from home with two, and one furnished everything but the desk, the other also made me furnish the chair. Not only do you need dedicated space, but the ability to isolate yourself from the random wants and needs of everyone else in the household. I worked in Dept of Defense as program manager and sys admin for multiple networks. 3) Online shopping will be up, – possibly : 20% to 25% Y/Y, – but clicking online is probably peaking, hitting fatigue. If there is a problem everybody flies to the point and they work together. I have worked remotely for over ten years and it has been great for my finances and mental health. ( Moved thousands of factories to other countries ). It still does not. The San Francisco housing market is the most expensive market in the most expensive state. Homes are typically worth $1,086/sqft. Direct: (415) 518-3489. Recollections of the good old days in San Francisco: Family trips, with several nights at the opera….after the last night (and it could have been Verdi; he’s a personal favorite), leaving the War Memorial Opera House, and heading towards home (home in another state), and hoping that it was not a night with a game at Candlestick Park, with that traffic pouring in to make for traffic congestion. Despite the terrible fires, SF had a very active month in listings going into contract in August, hitting a high point for the year and matching the high points of recent years. Ah yes, the Weapons of Mass-business destruction. Characterizing employers as “Dictating” your social life comes off as a personal opinion and not a fact. I keep in touch with my team and we all help when one of the pack. Central Banks I also noticed many product suppliers on Amazon are giving free shipping on one time orders below $25. Cars, Trucks & Crashes In Apr 2020 it plunged to 71.8. Those were some of my good old days, never-returning. Sales activity remains strong in San Francisco, as of August 2020. Here’s the most telling data point from the C.A.R. In September, the median list price of homes in San Francisco, CA was $1.4M, flat year-over-year. Give me a break! I’m not sure what will happen, when people eventually have to accept, that unemployment in the USA is way over 20 million…. I don’t wonder about the Asians. See, you have a choice. Wall St. September 2020. Always enjoyed the articles. 2) When I couldn’t find a parking slot near Macy’s, like in the good old days, I started to suspect that I might be wrong ! However, as in all things political, once ground is staked out no one will ever admit they were wrong, they’ll just double down on the stoopid. It looks like a smashing success. I once worked for a guy that loved to put up little plaques of quotes all over our staff room, and would hold court with his opinions every lunch hour. With the increase in inventory has come a big jump in the number of listings reducing asking price. I assume everyone to be a scoundrel, until they prove otherwise. 2 This slower growth trend is likely due to the craziness of the coronavirus and market uncertainty. July 7, 2020 Updated: July 7, 2020 10:15 a.m. Facebook Twitter Email. Human interaction at all levels feed our souls. Guess all those generals couldn’t read the clues hidden in the ticker-WMT. China They will not see a dime. The median list price in San Francisco is $1,295,000. 5) WFH and furlough will eliminate buying gifts to people u used to see and worked with. Read more Americans Have Gained $2 Trillion in Home Value During the Coronavirus Pandemic October 29, 2020 But then he’d be so busy, who would give us this our daily bread of Wolfstreet? Now they come for the white collar workers wages…. California tumbles into the sea One of the reasons I hate the office life- which sadly I will be going back after a decade of WFH (don’t ask). Hidden there all along under the mosque of finance. Strong sales, but dramatically rising inventory (and price reductions), especially in the condo market, make San Francisco a complex market. As an aside note, an interesting quote that I just read in one of my recent European history books that I read when i had nothing to do : From the Archduke Ferdinand, heir to the Austrian throne in June 1914: ” I trust no one. 6) People want to shop in the stores, to shop with family & friends, for family & friends, with other people around, for fun fun fun. In San Francisco, where it had already been rock-bottom, it dipped into the single digits. “a few of us that would actually read it”…… there were a bunch of people who educated themselves during the “Great Recession” and yet here we are. Social distancing is a preferred lifestyle not an imposed mandate. I chose Idaho instead. Two weeks later he was assassinated, the spark which ignited WWI: Your workplace observations are prescient. Federal Reserve Humans crave team work, I love getting together with my crew from work. And yes, some people cannot get their own social life together. Sure, it’s the sales, liquor, payroll, Healthy San Francisco surcharge for the homeless, taxes. My Thoughts on San Francisco’s “Exodus,” the Social-Life & Cost-Cutting Aspects of Work from Home, and the Truly Bizarre Split in the Real Estate Market by Wolf Richter • Nov 27, 2020 … Your email address will not be published. And yes I did enjoy the Friday after work brewskies and wings with some of the guys. The next two charts illustrate how the house and condo markets have diverged since the pandemic hit. Rising vacancies, falling rents: 'The office market, it's like a slow-motion car wreck.' October 2020 was $1,061. Download Full Report Q2 2020 San Francisco Multifamily Report Americans buy things, full stop. Wolf sounds like a cheerleader for work at home. No matter, they still get a participation trophy. Will slide into the Pacific Ocean soon. . I think 2020 is a great time to buy San Francisco Bay Area real estate because the current price peak was reached in 1Q2018. There are 149 homes for sale in San Francisco with a median price of $1,247,900, which is a decrease of 0.5% since last month. 9) Ads Removal will slow sales. San Francisco, CA Real Estate Trends. Weirdest Economy Ever. You can trust the birds and squirrels to keep eating all the food you place out there for them in their feeders. 3) The mall was unbelievable packed. The state income tax return is stupidly complicated and I have previously filed returns in Mass and NJ. The monied interests own the power, and their power now transcends borders. First they came for the blue collar workers wages…. There is a difference between employees who serve their inbasket, and those whose handle day to day operations. But let’s dive a little deeper beyond the data. The median listing price per square foot was $1K. 4) People with face mask, especially young ones, were waiting on lines, to buy x3 and get x3 for free. Transportation I live there, and it doesn’t look that way from where I am sitting. We have Pepco, the worse utility company in the USA. Buyers tend to shy away from TICs when there’s a glut of condo … Also use some manual typewriters and a Selectric II that I take to a hotel to operate in a degraded mode. The fewer distractions the better. This month, we take a look at the ways in which current U.S. economic conditions are affecting local, state, and national real estate markets. Call us at 415-735-5867 for a no-obligation consultation. From the Sierras to Lake Tahoe to Monterey, Big Sur , Yosemite, Muir Woods , wine county among others ,nature has blessed this area like few others. Much of the SF house market (blue columns) remains firmly in “seller’s market” territory, but the condo market’s supply (red columns) is outpacing buyer demand, especially in the higher price segments. Things that didn’t work in 2000 may work in 2019. San Francisco, CA 94109 There was no room for lookers on this black Fri. If he really believed it he would have stepped down. When the delinquent mortgages gets sorted out, then there should be a surplus of single family houses. Surprisingly, the fires did not significantly impact the number of deals being made in most Bay Area counties during the last 2 weeks of the month – the exceptions being Santa Cruz, Sonoma, Monterey and Napa Counties, which saw declines of 13% to 33%. #1-Did they introduce robot hours? Who cares about consumer sentiment? In April 2020, home prices grew by a teeny-tiny 0.6% compared to last year—down from the nearly 4% growth rate in March! I wonder if the South Americans and Africans will come to American colleges. Plug in to San Francisco Real Estate Tips, Trends and the Local Scoop. People celebrate Hanukkah, yuletide (pagan) and the new year, among other holidays, at this time of year. California Daydreamin’ This is the world my children live in. Internet and office products are agency dependent. Keep good records and consult your tax advisor. It’s not a conspiracy to deprive you of your “liberty”. Also the guys measuring consumer sentiment are probably the same ones doing the whole polling thingy. The median list price per square foot in San Francisco is $1,065. Later Geo Will said of GHW Bush, “he wants to Commander in Chief of a few New England states, and Bill Clinton wants to be governor of all of them..”. Canada We’re committed to making a difference in the lives of our clients as we help them buy or sell their homes. Most students HATE this and crave the classroom interaction with other students and instructors. You can be in San Francisco and it might be in the mid 60s while 40 miles away in Napa it might be in the mid 90’s. Many low paid jobs have been designed so people can’t interact. Also today I read Fidelity had a median 401k account value for 54 to 74 years olds at $69,900 ($212k avg due to super-savers). If we can’t help them, we know someone who can. If you’re just trolling my site, trying to abuse it for your own purposes with your nonsense, it gets deleted. The average sale price per square foot in San Francisco is $988, down 5.3% since last year. Another social outcome of law change. By hook or crook, you’re trying with all your power to inflate the prices/rents in the office sector of commercial real estate — and that’s the only thing you ever comment on. that’ll be the day I go back The penalty for late payment is hefty, so make sure you get your check in … Affordability of Living in San Francisco, CA. Housing Bubble 2 That’s what they wanted us to do. The San Francisco Treasurer’s Office has extended the deadline to pay the second installment of property taxes for the 2019/2020 tax year to May 4, 2020. Is it all engineering, software development, and social media? Pandemic-era supply and demand dynamics vary widely by property type, price segment and neighborhood. See our, ← The State of the American Consumer: Free Pandemic-Money Runs Low, This Spike of New Businesses is a Doozie, on Several Levels →, “Exodus” in Full Swing: November Rents Swoon in San Francisco, New York, Boston, Los Angeles… But Skyrocket in Other Cities, The State of the American Office: Suddenly Emptying Out Again Under the Second Wave, Vacancy Rate at Iconic Manhattan Tower with 899 Apartments Hits 26%: This Shows How Fast & Massive the Exodus Has Been, The State of American Restaurants, by City: The Catastrophe of the Second Wave, This Spike of New Businesses is a Doozie, on Several Levels. I have a VOIP one, but I recognize I’m in the minority. Times must be getting rough, even for online retailers. Click on the beer and iced-tea mug to find out how: Would you like to be notified via email when WOLF STREET publishes a new article? Of course not, it just makes you sound (to my ears at least), a bit wet. You’re stealing a famous quote by former Arizona Senator Barry Goldwater who once said after losing every state in the NE to LBJ: “They should saw off the Northeast US and let it float out into the Atlantic Ocean. 7) After the dotcom collapsed consumer sentiment was down to 77.6 in Mar 2003. Working from home is one thing if you are single or half of a couple and your partner is somewhere else during the day. There must be pressure from on high as well since Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities get a temporary reprieve when businesses reopen. Because you keep fabricating what psychological problems I might have because I present data that show what’s going on in the office sector of commercial real estate. TIC Market Stays Alive During Corona October 12, 2020 The tenancy-in-common (TIC) market in San Francisco is a small one, with about a tenth of the condo volume at any given time. the government is riding it like they stole it. My worry is that the additional load, small as it seems will contribute to more than 4/5% in hospitalizations later on down the road. The Gipper was delusional. After that, are you a ‘bad person’ for wishing someone ‘Happy Holidays’? Never lost a beat. 2) Many department stores, mom & pop and restaurants already have been closed. Before moving to CA , my impression was that the CA lifestyle would encourage people to be thinner. For one everybody used an offline email client. Real Estate Deals of the Year 2020 The San Francisco Business Times is now accepting entries for our annual Real Estate Deals of the Year Awards. The number of active listings on the SF market has risen dramatically over the last few months, outpacing the increase in listings going into contract. More detail follows later in the report. Inflation Stepped in ad sucked up the rest of those benefits and gave us unsupervised or stranger care kids to boot. report mentioned above. In WFH there are personal distractions, and I sure that means catchup work after hours. These bosses tend to disrupt the work with their all hands on deck proclamations. See more real estate market trends for San Francisco. 8) Confusion and chaos at the top and a new anti Xmas sentiment will not induce spending. Am I a bad person for saying “Happy Holidays” or should I just assume that every single person I meet is a Christian? Every day I worked from home I got 1 1/2 hours of my life back (45 minutes each way). The new stores rules slow everything down. like it was a ridiculous videogame; their We focus on the details that matter to help our clients get the best possible deal and to make a stressful event enjoyable and fun. Maybe it’s because I’m female, but to me the big advantage of working in an office is that I’m NOT AT HOME. Most people (I assume you’re in the US?) If Trump tax reform gets reversed, you should be able to itemize your home office, although I think you would need to WFH fulltime for that. Humans are social animals. Shenanigans My conclusion after talking with many Californians is that few would leave the area . Now with the pandemic the government is using the crisis to unload even more tasks to the employees at home and NOT paying them a dime in rent, utilities, taxes, Internet access, insurance and maintenance of their home offices. Learn more about our local markets and property types by clicking our most recent San Mateo MarketBeat reports below. In most of the EU, primary schools remained open with rates near 20%. What made 1975 the current #1 and why? The chart below does the same for the SF condo, co-op and TIC market. As for meetings, the simplest solution was best, telephone call ins with a shared computer you can link into, software has improved. Consumers READ: San Francisco Real Estate Market Report July 2020 By Lynn | 2020-09-11T15:37:40-08:00 September 11th, 2020 | Monthly Market Report , Real Estate Blogs | Share This Article And lots of people will choose to work from home and gravitate to those jobs that offer it. Sign up here. If you figure out a way to do this please let me know. 6) Consumer Sentiment peaked in Jan 2000 @112 when the Nasdaq was hiking on the dotcom trail. San Francisco's real-estate slump, while similar to other isolated trends in expensive US cities like New York, doesn't follow a national trend. On the positive side, if the West Coast scoots out far enough into the Pacific, we’ll be closer to my in-laws who live in Japan and are getting older :-]. You are not buying at the high. ”we” built a boat and went down and found the transmitter antenna was just above the water, and the people transmitting were below but had been prepared,,, and, of course, being dream land, they were ”fully realized” folks who had lots of helpful information and would work in our fields to feed themselves and many others due to their continuation of their physical fitness regimes in spite of being so far under water… San Francisco's home resale inventories is 1,727, which decreased 5 percent since October 2020. I appreciate it immensely. :). What was going on here was the government pretending to be giving you a benefit when in reality they were offloading all their overhead to their employees at their personal residences. So the median retiree has 4.48 times more “wealth” in their home versus more liquid 401k account? Regarding the next chart, the lower the Months Supply of Inventory (MSI), the stronger the demand as compared to the supply of listings for sale. 1973 was when Roe passed, it took a couple years to really have an effect on young women’s employability. My heart goes out to all the small business owners watching their lives destroyed by the virus of bad government and stoopid political decisions. Just about everything is very expensive with the exception of real estate taxes. If a job consists of simple clearly defined tasks that never change, requires no judgement, and requires no coordination with others, then it’s a good work from home job. It never rains from the end of winter until late Oct.The skies are incredibly blue when it is sunny , which is quite often. There’s just no way I’m going to agree on this. The recovery is not much better. As was done after the Great Financial Crisis, I hope an intrepid author or two will take the time to put out an honest assessment of what was done, and where we went wrong. San Francisco rents plunged by stunning 27% in 18 months. Having jumped to a 9-year seasonal high last week, the number of homes on the market in San Francisco has since ticked up another 5 percent to 870, representing 45 percent more inventory than at the same time last year, driven by a dramatic slowdown in sales activity over the past two months, which has started to rebound, while listing activity has since rebounded. Work is work. As for the nation’s worst real estate market in 2020? ... San Francisco was at the top of the list for expected underperformers — 64% of experts believe it will underperform in 2020. What I do and how well I do it has been, and always will be, important to me. On the good side, no one will recognize who the cheap a** buying cr*p gifts is due to the mask. They started this teleworking back in 2000, and it was a complete disaster. When I was older and had my chance, it was much different. “science” is Ptolemaic astronomy, bloodletting. Website: DebDonovanSF.com For more information about the San Francisco or Oakland-area real estate market, reach out to me directly at (415) 518-3489 or email at debdonovansf@gmail.com. Stockmarket index PE ratios are high compared to long term averages. In the closed caption version this states that you are the publisher of Wallstreet.com. #5-There goes fruitcake sales. Kids need to learn how to socialize, and school is part of that. TSA screenings of people entering the security zones at airports was down 60% on average during the week, compared to same week last year. Suburban home listings are not seeing any more attention on Zillow than they were last year, relative to urban or rural listings. gotta have fun with ”IT” no matter what it is or becomes!!! This is never discussed because it does fit the narrative. It’s all part of your relentless trolling. Credit Bubble Europe’s Dilemmas See our Privacy Policy, My Thoughts on San Francisco’s “Exodus,” the Social-Life & Cost-Cutting Aspects of Work from Home, and the Truly Bizarre Split in the Real Estate Market. For them, in-office work is great so that the company can hand them their social life. Yep its a superior life or so many wouldn’t be clamoring to be here. And it’s not even near Xmas. In particular, we examine some crucial economic indicators, such as third-quarter Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP)1 and new housing permits. Leave me alone. As an old buddy of mine used to say California, Oregon, Washington, Hawaii, and Alaska need to separate from the north american continent and form The Greater State of Pacifica. The paradigm that us boomers thrived on is dying. More importantly: how sick will you get staying at home 24/7 ??? Ever try to use your telephone when it is tied up for an hour and a half with someone in your family taking some on-line training that requires exclusive use of the phone (RJ11 connection) and Internet at the same time. But then, there are many people who never go to college, and they figured out how to socialize without college just fine. You have to do some basic things: masks, social distancing, washing your hands, testing, contract tracing. 1975 was the baby bust due to women entering the workforce in record numbers. info@ruthkrishnan.com Let’s disband it instead of fixing it and just live in anarchy!! Would be one of the biggest economies on Earth and socialist paradise. I think the government and especially the DOD with their 700 billion annual budget can afford it. Why do I see people watering their lawns ? It develops organically. I’ve been working from home for most of the last 2 decades and absolutely love it. Think of McDonald’s or factory work. Question for anyone. In some market segments, sellers are now competing for buyers, instead of buyers competing for listings. Maybe we are too fragmented. A week as 168 hours. Instead, you are buying after prices have already softened by 5% – 15%, depending on the area. I keep my horse & buggy technology as a backup for major power outages. Well that’s an easy one! I’m a lone-wolf type who ass for help when needed but gets the job done the rest of the time. Pandemic-era supply and demand dynamics vary widely by property type, price segment and neighborhood. Just ask my son how he likes his RE finance class on Zoom. But last year, screenings hit 2.6 million. Despite the terrible fires, SF had a very active month in listings going into contract in August, hitting a high point for the year and matching the high points of recent years. What about those who has no social life out of office? If you say something reasonable, it passes. However, there are significant differences between the house and condo markets, which are discussed later in the report. (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); The entire west coast is quickly rotting. Ties strengthen and friendships blossom. People are fleeing Seattle because appears warmer than usual Nov 12, 2020, 9:32 am PST Prop 19 passes, changing real estate tax landscape for California families Who still uses a landline? It was impossible to have any productive meetings. A million every day. November 2020. Couldn’t get my work done because on any given day key personel were at home or on leave. The hollowing out of USA jobs and wages accelerates….. No, wait …. Contact tracing in the context of the current pandemic hasn’t been applicable for about 5 months. The Meeting software never worked correctly. Ruth Krishnan That is very easy to move. Has transformers that date back to the 1930’s. People seem to waste water in an area which seems to be a long period of drought . Despite the rampant indoorification of outdoor dining. We live in a world where the people that rule us have created a system where we are isolated or atomized. There were also a bunch of people who educated themselves during the “Dotcom” bubble yet there we were in the “Great Recession”. Using ad blockers – I totally get why – but want to support the site? *first tuesday’s forecast is based on monthly sales volume trends, as experienced so far this year, and economic conditions affecting the market.. Home sales volume in San Francisco County is volatile, but has tended to run a step ahead of the rest of the state in terms of trends. #3, well that’s all well and good, but Amazon Prime deliveries on two of my recent orders have taken 5 days with several notices of them being late. www.RuthKrishnan.com. . San Francisco, California | Real Estate Market Trends October 2020 That is a lot of eggs in one basket, with extremely limited future returns unless the Fed goes full retard into negative interest rates…or we have hyper-inflation. Gold & Silver https://www.influenzaarchive.org/cities/gallery.html. I agree, also any bad habit picked up from campus socializing will not rear its head. San Francisco Real Estate Market | September 2020, Everything you wanted to know about the current state of the stock market & some real estate too, San Francisco Real Estate Market | November 2020, Accessory Dwelling Units (ADUs) in San Francisco, San Francisco Real Estate Market | October 2020. Suburban homes made up 62.2% of all Zillow page views of for-sale listings in June 2020, down just slightly from 62.6% in June 2019. Which is the great thing, and which is what I said. I don’t know who you work for, and how deep your own money is in commercial real estate, but it’s obvious why you’re doing it. SF luxury house sales increased by a more modest percentage; SF luxury condo sales declined year over year. They’re playing with other people’s money/lives Copyright © 2011 - 2020 Wolf Street Corp. All Rights Reserved. Also, basic science is basic science, but business and school closures are not science, they are public policy. It seemed like paradise. The following 3 charts illustrate aspects of the SF HOUSE market: Median house sales price trends by bedroom count; sales volumes and median sales prices by Realtor district; and the number of active house listings by Realtor district with an analysis of months supply of inventory.
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